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Meteorological factors and risk of scrub typhus in Guangzhou, southern China, 2006-2012.
[scrub typhus]
Scrub
typhus
is
becoming
the
most
common
vector
born
disease
in
Guangzhou
,
southern
China
.
In
this
study
,
we
aimed
to
examine
the
effect
of
weather
patterns
on
the
incidence
of
Scrub
typhus
in
the
subtropical
city
of
Guangzhou
for
the
period
2006
-
2012
,
and
assist
public
health
prevention
and
control
measures
.
Scrub
typhus
reported
cases
during
the
period
of
2006
-
2012
in
Guangzhou
were
obtained
from
National
Notifiable
Disease
Report
System
(
NNDRS
)
.
Simultaneous
meteorological
data
including
temperature
,
relative
humidity
,
atmospheric
pressure
,
sunshine
,
and
rainfall
were
obtained
from
the
documentation
of
the
Guangzhou
Meteorological
Bureau
.
A
negative
binomial
regression
was
used
to
identify
the
relationship
between
meteorological
variables
and
scrub
typhus
.
Annual
incidence
rates
of
scrub
typhus
from
2006
to
2012
were
3
.
25
,
2
.
67
,
3
.
81
,
4
.
22
,
4
.
41
,
5
.
12
,
and
9
.
75
(
per
100
000
)
respectively
.
Each
1
°
C
rise
in
temperature
corresponded
to
an
increase
of
14
.
98
%
(
95
%
CI
13
.
65
%
to
16
.
33
%
)
in
the
monthly
number
of
scrub
typhus
cases
,
while
a
1
 
hPa
rise
in
atmospheric
pressure
corresponded
to
a
decrease
in
the
number
of
cases
by
8
.
03
%
(
95
%
CI
-
8
.
75
%
to
-
7
.
31
%
)
.
Similarly
,
a
1
Â
hour
rise
in
sunshine
corresponded
to
an
increase
of
0
.
17
%
or
0
.
54
%
,
and
a
1
millimeter
rise
in
rainfall
corresponded
to
an
increase
of
0
.
05
%
or
0
.
10
%
,
in
the
monthly
number
of
scrub
typhus
cases
,
depending
on
the
variables
considered
in
the
model
.
Our
study
provided
evidence
that
climatic
factors
were
associated
with
occurrence
of
scrub
typhus
in
Guangzhou
city
,
China
.
Temperature
,
duration
of
sunshine
,
and
rainfall
were
positively
associated
with
scrub
typhus
incidence
,
while
atmospheric
pressure
was
inversely
associated
with
scrub
typhus
incidence
.
These
findings
should
be
considered
in
the
prediction
of
future
patterns
of
scrub
typhus
transmission
.
Diseases
Validation
Diseases presenting
"relative humidity"
symptom
legionellosis
scrub typhus
x-linked adrenoleukodystrophy
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