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Primary prevention of acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease with penicillin in South African children with pharyngitis: a cost-effectiveness analysis.
[acute rheumatic fever]
Acute
rheumatic
fever
and
subsequent
rheumatic
heart
disease
remain
significant
in
developing
countries
.
We
describe
a
cost-effective
analysis
of
7
strategies
for
the
primary
prevention
of
acute
rheumatic
fever
and
rheumatic
heart
disease
in
children
presenting
with
pharyngitis
in
urban
primary
care
clinics
in
South
Africa
.
We
used
a
Markov
model
to
assess
the
cost-effectiveness
of
treatment
with
intramuscular
penicillin
using
each
of
the
following
strategies
:
(
1
)
empirical
(
treat
all
)
;
(
2
)
positive
throat
culture
(
culture
all
)
;
(
3
)
clinical
decision
rule
(
CDR
)
score
≥
2
(
CDR
2
+
)
;
(
4
)
CDR
score
≥
3
(
CDR
3
+
)
;
(
5
)
treating
those
with
a
CDR
score
≥
2
plus
those
with
CDR
score
<
2
and
positive
cultures
(
CDR
2
+
,
culture
CDR
negatives
)
;
(
6
)
treating
those
with
a
CDR
score
≥
3
plus
those
with
CDR
score
<
3
and
positive
cultures
(
CDR
3
+
,
culture
CDR
negatives
)
;
and
(
7
)
treat
none
.
The
strategies
ranked
in
order
from
lowest
cost
were
treat
all
(
$
11
.
19
per
child
)
,
CDR
2
+
(
$
11
.
20
)
;
the
CDR
3
+
(
$
13
.
00
)
;
CDR
2
+
,
culture
CDR
negatives
(
$
16
.
42
)
;
CDR
3
+
,
culture
CDR
negatives
(
$
23
.
89
)
;
and
culture
all
(
$
27
.
21
)
.
The
CDR
2
+
is
the
preferred
strategy
at
less
than
$
150
/
quality-adjusted
life
year
compared
with
the
treat
all
strategy
.
A
strategy
of
culturing
all
children
compared
with
the
CDR
2
+
strategy
costs
more
than
$
125
000
/
quality-adjusted
life
year
gained
.
Treating
all
children
presenting
with
pharyngitis
in
urban
primary
care
clinics
in
South
Africa
with
intramuscular
penicillin
is
the
least
costly
.
A
strategy
of
using
a
clinical
decision
rule
without
culturing
is
overall
the
preferred
strategy
.
A
strategy
of
culturing
all
children
may
be
prohibitively
expensive
.
Diseases
Validation
Diseases presenting
"positive cultures"
symptom
acute rheumatic fever
allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis
oculocutaneous albinism
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