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Acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease: incidence and progression in the Northern Territory of Australia, 1997 to 2010.
[acute rheumatic fever]
Although
acute
rheumatic
fever
(
ARF
)
and
its
sequel
,
rheumatic
heart
disease
(
RHD
)
,
continue
to
cause
a
large
burden
of
morbidity
and
mortality
in
disadvantaged
populations
,
most
studies
investigating
the
effectiveness
of
control
programs
date
from
the
1950
s
.
A
control
program
,
including
a
disease
register
,
in
the
Northern
Territory
of
Australia
where
the
Indigenous
population
has
high
rates
of
ARF
and
RHD
allowed
us
to
examine
current
disease
incidence
and
progression
.
ARF
and
RHD
incidence
rates
,
ARF
recurrence
rates
,
progression
rates
from
ARF
to
RHD
to
heart
failure
,
and
RHD
survival
and
mortality
rates
were
calculated
for
Northern
Territory
residents
from
1997
to
2010
.
For
Indigenous
people
,
ARF
incidence
was
highest
in
the
5
-
to
14
-
year
age
group
(
males
,
162
per
100
,
000
;
females
,
228
per
100
,
000
)
.
There
was
little
evidence
that
the
incidence
of
ARF
or
RHD
had
declined
.
The
ARF
recurrence
rate
declined
by
9
%
per
year
after
diagnosis
.
After
a
first
ARF
diagnosis
,
61
%
developed
RHD
within
10
years
.
After
RHD
diagnosis
,
27
%
developed
heart
failure
within
5
years
.
For
Indigenous
RHD
patients
,
the
relative
survival
rate
was
88
.
4
%
at
10
years
after
diagnosis
and
the
standardized
mortality
ratio
was
1
.
56
(
95
%
confidence
interval
,
1
.
23
-
1
.
96
)
.
For
Indigenous
Australians
in
the
Northern
Territory
,
ARF
and
RHD
incidence
and
associated
mortality
remain
very
high
.
The
reduction
in
ARF
recurrence
indicates
that
the
RHD
control
program
has
improved
secondary
prophylaxis
;
a
decline
in
RHD
incidence
is
expected
to
follow
.
Diseases
Validation
Diseases presenting
"acute rheumatic fever"
symptom
acute rheumatic fever
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